Summary
- ASML would need shares at some $2,600 for $1 tril market value
- ASML is nearly sold out of flagship EUV systems for 2027
- Shares trade at 38 times 2027 earnings, above most chipmakers
AMSTERDAM, (Reuters) – The global artificial intelligence boom has propelled ASML to the top of Europe’s stock market, as soaring demand for AI computer chips flows to the Dutch company that dominates the market for the equipment needed to make them.
After blowout second quarter earnings, investors and analysts are asking a once far-fetched question: could ASML become Europe’s first ever trillion-dollar firm?
Key obstacles include doubts over how long Google, Amazon, and other hyperscalers will keep spending heavily on data centres, and whether ASML, its suppliers and customers such as TSMC and Samsung can execute expansion plans.
But after ASML shares spiked 60% this year to push the firm close to a $700 billion valuation, investors and analysts say the trillion-dollar scenario is plausible.
“I think it has a really good chance of being the first company in Europe to hit the trillion mark,” said Carolyn Bell, lead portfolio manager for Stonehage Fleming’s Global Best Ideas, adding ASML accounted for about 8% of the portfolio.
“I just don’t know when.”
Reporting by Toby Sterling and Nathan Vifflin; Editing by Adam Jourdan and Daniel Wallis
